From nadir to not out of it in three weeks

The 2025 Texas Rangers have staged a stunning comeback, just three weeks after hitting what many considered the lowest point of their season.

While some may argue their worst moment came on June 6—after being shut out by the Nationals and falling to 29-35—the true low came on August 21. That day, the Rangers lost to Kansas City, dropping to 63-66, falling 7.5 games behind in the AL West and 5.5 out of a Wild Card spot. They were in the middle of a brutal 3-11 stretch, with their postseason chances down to a bleak 6.7%, according to FanGraphs.

But the loss itself wasn’t even the worst part. Both Marcus Semien and Evan Carter suffered fractures during the game and were placed on the injured list. Shortly after, Nathan Eovaldi, the team’s best pitcher, landed on the IL with a likely season-ending shoulder injury. Then came news that Corey Seager required an appendectomy, sidelining the club’s best position player. And although Adolis García briefly returned and dominated, he too was soon back on the injured list with a quad strain.

By August 28, the Rangers’ playoff odds had dropped to 4.8%, their lowest all year. At that point, a postseason run seemed like a long shot.

But 4.8% isn’t zero.

Since then, the Rangers have gone on a 14-4 tear, including sweeps of the Guardians, Athletics, and the MLB-leading Brewers. They’ve also taken series from the Angels and Astros. Over that stretch, the Rangers have clawed back significant ground in the Wild Card race, moving within striking distance of the Mariners, who currently hold the final spot.

During this run:

Texas has scored 103 runs, third-most in MLB.
They’ve allowed just 59 runs, also third-fewest.
Their team wRC+ of 116 ranks in the top 10.
Their pitching staff has posted a 2.20 ERA, excluding a few struggling relievers.
Eight hitters (including Seager, García, Jung, and Langford) posted a wRC+ of 112 or higher.

Despite the injuries, the Rangers have gotten key contributions from up-and-down the roster—on both sides of the ball.

There’s still work to do. With 15 games left, and the Mariners holding the tiebreaker, Texas effectively trails by three games in the Wild Card standings. Series against the Mets and Astros loom large. A poor road trip could end their postseason hopes just as quickly as they were revived.

But for now, the Rangers have gone from near-elimination to a 26% chance of making the playoffs—a remarkable surge in just three weeks.